Monday, February 25, 2008

Money market funds get volatile

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One of the quietest corners of the fiscal human race have suddenly go one of the most unsettled.

I'm talking about tax-free money marketplace funds, which put in ultra-short-term, tax-free securities issued by states, metropolises and other municipalities.

These funds, which pay tax-exempt income, typically give a spot less than nonexempt money funds. But for higher-income people, they usually give more than than nonexempt money finances after you deduct the taxation owed on the latter. The higher your taxation bracket, the larger the benefit of tax-free funds.

While outputs on all money marketplace finances have got got fallen since the Federal Soldier Reserve's charge per unit cuts, the outputs on tax-free funds have virtually collapsed.

On Dec. 3, the norm tax-free money marketplace monetary monetary fund was yielding 3.06 percentage - about 75 percentage of the norm nonexempt money fund output of 4.1 percent.

A hebdomad ago, tax-free money finances were yielding a light 1.41 percentage - only 46 percentage of the norm nonexempt money monetary fund output of 3.05 percent, according to iMoneyNet. If that unusual human relationship were to persist, tax-free money marketplace finances wouldn't even do sense for the highest-income taxpayers.

Tax-free yields have got improved since last hebdomad but are still abnormally low relative to taxables.

A smattering of tax-free money marketplace finances have got resorted to purchasing nonexempt securities, presumably to increase their yields. That unusual move could bring forth a surprise taxation hit for stockholders who thought they'd purchased a tax-exempt vehicle.

Most tax-free money marketplace finances have got the right to purchase a limited amount of nonexempt securities, and other finances could be doing it, too, without disclosing it.

The dip in tax-free money-fund yields stand ups in blunt direct contrast to what's happening at the other end of the municipal-bond spectrum. Yields on medium- and long-term tax-free common finances have got been rising relative to their nonexempt counterparts.

What's to fault for this bend of events?

The mortgage mess, of course.

More than one-half of all municipal securities are insured by a smattering of companies, including Ambac Assurance Corp., MBIA Insurance Corp. and Financial Guarantee Insurance Co.

Until recently, all of these companies had solid, AAA recognition ratings.

A metropolis that had a slightly less Alcoholics Anonymous recognition rating, for example, could pay one of these companies to vouch that its chemical bonds would be repaid. This coverage gave the city's chemical bonds an AAA evaluation and allow it sell them at a slightly less involvement charge per unit than if it had sold them with its ain Alcoholics Anonymous rating.

In recent years, these companies also started insuring mortgage-backed securities. The crisis in that marketplace have set most of the insurers' recognition evaluations at risk. Some have got already been downgraded. If an insurance company is downgraded, the chemical bonds it sees will be downgraded as well.

Even though municipal chemical bond defaults are extremely rare, investors - including common finances - have got been dumping or trying to dump securities backed by the troubled insurers. The terms of those securities is plunging, and their outputs - which move in the antonym way - are rising.

"Money marketplace finances are supposed to be very conservative," states Cameron Ullyatt, who manges tax-free money finances for Robert Oppenheimer Funds. "We are selling that paper right and left."

At the same time, finances have got got been trying to purchase securities that are either guaranteed by the 1 or two nontroubled insurance companies or that have strong implicit in ratings.

The terms on those securities are rising, and their outputs are falling.

"Most of the money finances have got taken defensive postures. You have got a big amount of money chasing a little amount of assets," states Kenneth Naehu, manager director of Bel Air Investing Advisors.

So why are outputs on tax-free money finances falling relative to their nonexempt counterparts, while outputs on longer-term tax-free funds are rising relative to theirs?

The replies are complicated, but the simple 1 is this:

Money finances are supposed to continue chief at all costs by never falling below $1 per share. "Our No. One precedence is saving of the $1 network plus value," states Pamela Tynan, who pulls off tax-free money finances for Vanguard Group.

Money finances are likely to sell assets at the first puff of trouble, even if it do their outputs to plummet.

Longer-term funds, on the other hand, are designed to supply nice tax returns over many years, even if it do some volatility - or losings - over the short term. Longer-term funds might throw onto higher-yielding securities if they believe they will pay off in the end.

The crisp driblet in tax-free money monetary fund outputs might have got reversed itself, at least for now.

The steep diminution caused many investors to draw their money out of these funds. Over the past two weeks, investors withdrew a sum of $13 billion more than than they set into tax-free money funds, according to AMG Data.

That, in turn, have reduced demand for the supposedly untainted securities that money finances are scrambling to buy. And that have increased their output and the output on tax-free money finances in general.

The output on the Vanguard Golden State Tax-Exempt Money Market Fund have risen to 1.91 percentage from 1.61 percentage in the past week, Tynan says.

While that's break than it was, it's calm only half the output on Vanguard's nonexempt Prime Money Market Fund.

If investors started pouring back into tax-free money funds, outputs could head down again. On the other hand, if assorted programs to deliver the problem chemical bond insurance companies look like they are going to succeed, outputs could travel up.

Citing the famine of good tax-free securities, at least two monetary fund groupings - TD Asset Management United States Funds Inc. and First American Funds - have got got disclosed that their tax-free money finances have or mean to buy some nonexempt securities, owed to current marketplace conditions. Neither house returned telephone calls.

Tynan and Ullyatt state they haven't done so and don't expect doing so.

If you're wondering about your tax-free money fund, give it a call.

Net Worth runs Tuesdays, Thursdays and Sundays. E-mail Kathleen Pender at .

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