Wednesday, February 27, 2008
It Can't Be Done
Wouldnt it be nice if you were only in the stock market when it was going up and have got everything transferred to cash while it is going down? It is called market timing and your broker or financial contriver will state you it cant be done. What that individual just told you is he doesnt cognize how to make it. He doesnt cognize his job.
Even the Federal Soldier Modesty wrote an article saying that market timing makes out execute the S&P500 index which is one of the best market directional indicators.
There are many advisory services that offer market timing. If you search on the Internet under Market Timing you will happen them or you may look in assorted publications such as as Technical Analysis of Pillory and Commodities magazine or Investors Business Daily newspaper. Once you have got got establish respective you will happen that some have respective bargain and sell signalings each twelvemonth and a few average only one timing signaling per year. Here it depends upon your personality and your attack to the market.
For the active bargainer the more than signalings the better and for the longer-term investor the slow signalings are best. You will have got to make your homework and will desire to direct for a trial subscription to their newsletters. You might have got to seek respective until you happen one you like.
Instead of subscribing to an advisory missive you may do up one's mind to make up your ain timing signal. It will take some initial work, but once done you will not have got to pay anyone else for the service.
Most of these timing methods utilize two a simple moving averages of from 50 years to 200 years plotted with the S&P500 Index or the New York Stock Exchange Complex or the Nasdaq Complex if you are investing in the high technical school pillory or common funds. Yes, this definitely works with common funds. The longer the clip of the moving average the less frequent volition be the Buy and Sell signals. The signaling is generated when the index penetrates the moving average line. When the index is below the moving average and travels through it to the top you have got a Buy and visa versa for the Sell. Nothing complicated.
If you desire to piggyback the work of Investors Business Daily expression at their Common Fund Index where they demo both a 50-day and 200-day moving average lines. Both of these methods gave sell signalings last September/ October. Would your investings have got been more than profitable if you had gone to cash at that time? Probably. The 200-day line still have you inch cash while the 50-day line had a Buy/Sell in January and a new Buy about April 20.
Basically what market timing makes is protect you from any large loss in a bear market. The first regulation for all smart investors is to protect their capital. If your broker makes not cognize how to make this you need a new broker.
Its your money. Keep it.