Sunday, January 06, 2008
Market Timing
Every broker and financial contriver will state you that you cannot clip the stock market. I saw Toilet Bogle, the great visionary of Vanguard, on CNBC saying it cant be done. Of course, it is easy to understand why he and every other common monetary monetary fund manager would state that as they would have got a problem managing huge inflows and outflows of money and he was buying and retention during the 18-year bull from 1982 to 2000.
Every successful hedge fund managers cognizes that Buy and Hold is death for capital investment. Hedge monetary monetary fund managers are different than regular common fund managers in that they only get paid when they do a net income for their investors. Wouldnt it be bracing if we could have got that go on for the common finances you own. Last twelvemonth 90% of all stock common finances lost money and the average monetary monetary fund manager made about $300,000.
To be invested in a hedge fund you must be a qualified investor. That agency you need to demo an income of $200,000 a twelvemonth for the last 2 old age and have got a nett worth of $1,000,000. It is the old narrative of the rich get richer. The ground is simple. They dont set money with money mangers who cant manage money. Hedge monetary fund managers must do net income or starve. The Securities and Exchange Committee should allow this type of investing for small investors, but they dont. Why dont you compose them a missive and inquire why?
To protect your cash in your IRA, 401K, SEP, trust or just apparent stock account you can learn to utilize market timing. There is one very simple timing method that anyone can master and you dont have got to be a mathematical genius or even the least spot market understanding to make it.
From 1950 to the twelvemonth 2000 the Dow Mother Jones Industrial Average gained 10,534 points. That is a pretty long clip time period so it is a very good sample. According to the Stock Traders Almanac (2002 edition) a $10,000 investing using only the S&P500 Index your account would have got increased by $11,408 if you had been invested just during May through October. Pretty shabby. However, if you were invested only from November through April that same $10,000 would have got gained $314,056. Cowabunga! Who states you cant clip the market?
If you were invested in a wide market index monetary fund of any sort and switched to a money market during the Spring and Summer time periods and been fully invested during the Fall and Winter you could be one of those qualified investors. You could have got made an extra 700%. Thats existent money. And there are better timing models.
Anyone can make this, but brokers state you you have got to be fully invested all the time. Nonsense. They are worried you might take your money out. Cash is a position. They will state you it is too simplistic, but that is the beauty of it. Simple is always better.
This is the easiest of all timing theoretical accounts I cognize and it works. Take some clip to analyze it. It can only increase your nett worth. And you will kip better.