Thursday, November 22, 2007
India may not be expensive after all in P/E play
How expensive is the Indian equity
market? At a clip when Sensex is at a historical high, it is to be checked whether
the marketplace is properly valued and how makes it compare with other emerging
markets? It is very hard for any 1 to happen the exact value, but certainly
one can look at some indexes to acquire a broader idea. The most
common parametric quantity used is the P/E (price to earning ratio). So where makes India
stand on a planetary P/E ranking? Republic Of India is figure two in P/E ranking among
worldâs major economies, adjacent lone to China. We have got used the leading
stock index of a state to stand for the P/E of that country. So when we say
P/E of India, we intend P/E of Sensex since it is the prima benchmark of Indian
stock market. The up-to-the-minute one calendar month norm P/E for Sensex is around
27 whereas Chinaâs CSI index (the prima Chinese stock marketplace index) is
53.4. Even other prima Chinese indices are trading at pe multiple of 43-48. Though it gives a feeling that Sensex is over-valued, it is still not so
expensive; peg ratio (P/E to growth), another index of relative valuation,
for Republic Of India is 2.9. Here we have got taken the gross domestic product growing charge per unit of a state as a proxy
for sustainable long-term growth charge per unit of the prima index of that country. Brazil, which have P/E of 16 expressions cheaper than Republic Of India which have a P/E
of 26. But the peg ratio of both plant out to be 2.9. What it intends is the
higher P/E of Republic Of India as compared to Federative Republic Of Brazil is driven by the high growing rate. Even the peg ratio of Republic Of India is far behind that of US, Japan, United Kingdom with a peg ratio
of 6.1, 9.5 and 4.5 respectively. So the current evaluation of North American Indian Inc. is not
very high considering the high expected growing phase. Russia, another
emerging economic system in the human race have a P/E of lone around 13. Unlike other
parameters where a high ranking is a substance of pride, a high P/E mightiness be a
matter of concern. A high P/E intends an investor have to pay more than for an asset
with similar current earning levels. And why an investor will pay a higher
price? because he anticipates higher earning potentiality from the asset. But a P/E value of a state should always be compared with the peers. So with
similar state risks, investors may travel away from a high P/E state like
India to a low P/E state like Russia. Having said so, if the P/E is driven by
a long term sustainable growing charge per unit then it is just to pay a higher price.
Labels: chinese stock market, e price, earning, emerging markets, india, indian equity market, indian stock market, price to earning ratio, sensex, stock index, stock market index